We knew this from Nash Roberts. Nash Roberts is a veteran New Orleans TV weatherman who is low-tech, at least by way of presentation, and always right. Nash was broadcasting from his own house, it looked like, tracing the hurricane with a grease pencil on a sheet of Plexiglas or a pad of paper, I forget which, while the other channels' meteorologists were using all manner of laser pointers and rear-projected electronic schematic representations of the area. You couldn't tell what in the world Nash was scribbling with the grease pencil, but as usual he was the first to make the call, this one's going to miss us, and he was on the money.
It sounds goofy, sentimental and made-up but I remember Nash Roberts, his white boards and plexiglas (it's not that simple, deeper, more primal) and everyone listened to Nash Roberts. Whatever he said went and usually bore out. When I watched the weather Saturday afternoon, August 27, I did think, "Nash Roberts." Everybody always wanted to know what he thought (his last post-retirement appearance on WWL-TV was in 2001) and I especially wanted to know then. Turns out even Nash evacuated for Katrina. Would some have changed their minds if they'd heard him say he was on I-10 headed out?